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    Here are the bookies’ odds for the 2021 Nobel Prize in Literature.

    Emily Temple

    October 5, 2021, 2:54pm

    Attention literary gamblers and other people who like losing money: the 2021 Nobel Prize in Literature will be announced this Thursday, October 7 at 7:00 EST, and the bookies are open. The winner will receive a Nobel Prize diploma, a Nobel Prize medal, 10 million SEK (about $1,144,507.80 USD), and all the bragging rights in the land.

    For those who want to get your bets in before the prize is announced and need a sense of the field, I consulted the London-based betting company Ladbrokes, which offers odds on the Nobel every year. But be warned that the odds are hardly predictive—last year, the winner, Louise Glück, only enjoyed 25/1 odds, and the 2018/2019 winners, which were announced jointly in 2019, were only a little closer to the top: Olga Tokarczuk had 10/1 odds and Peter Handke had 20/1. You might as well listen to Alex Shepard (either way, you should read his always-funny yearly piece). With that in mind, my (imaginary) money’s on Can Xue.

    As of this writing, here are the bookies’ odds for who will win the year’s big prize:

    Annie Ernaux – 8/1
    Ngũgĩ wa Thiong’o – 8/1
    Haruki Murakami – 10/1
    Margaret Atwood – 10/1
    Anne Carson – 12/1
    Jamaica Kincaid – 12/1
    Lyudmila Ulitskaya – 12/1
    Maryse Condé – 12/1
    Peter Nadas – 12/1
    Jon Fosse – 14/1
    Don DeLillo – 16/1
    Dubravka Ugrešić – 16/1
    Hélène Cixous – 16/1
    Javier Marías – 16/1
    Mircea Cărtărescu – 16/1
    Nuruddin Farah – 16/1
    Can Xue – 20/1
    Mia Couto – 20/1
    Michel Houellebecq – 20/1
    Yan Lianke – 20/1
    Charles Simic – 25/1
    Edna O’Brien – 25/1
    Gerald Murnane – 25/1
    Homero Aridjis – 25/1
    Ivan Vladislavić – 25/1
    Karl Ove Knausgaard – 25/1
    Scholastique Mukasonga – 25/1
    Xi Xi – 25/1
    Botho Strauss – 33/1
    Cormac McCarthy – 33/1
    Hilary Mantel – 33/1
    Ko Un – 33/1
    Linton Kwesi Johnson – 33/1
    Marilynne Robinson – 33/1
    Yu Hua – 33/1
    Zoë Wicomb – 33/1
    Martin Amis – 50/1
    Milan Kundera – 50/1
    Salman Rushdie – 50/1
    Stephen King – 50/1
    William T. Vollmann – 50/1
    Richard Osman – 100/1

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